Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.029963 0.032938 0.035964 0.039265 0.042758 0.046338 0.050278
2025-08-24 0.024565 0.028831 0.033346 0.038456 0.044052 0.049971 0.056680
2025-08-31 0.021687 0.026961 0.032741 0.039483 0.047074 0.055301 0.064835
2025-09-07 0.019273 0.025280 0.032074 0.040216 0.049604 0.059989 0.072245
2025-09-14 0.017182 0.023717 0.031329 0.040679 0.051686 0.064081 0.078937
2025-09-21 0.015273 0.022161 0.030416 0.040790 0.053241 0.067484 0.084791
2025-09-28 0.014189 0.021500 0.030477 0.041975 0.055992 0.072233 0.092183
2025-10-05 0.012458 0.019851 0.029184 0.041395 0.056540 0.074330 0.096435
2025-10-12 0.011228 0.018746 0.028479 0.041457 0.057796 0.077217 0.101584
2025-10-19 0.010347 0.018031 0.028209 0.042010 0.059612 0.080749 0.107490
2025-10-26 0.009704 0.017590 0.028253 0.042928 0.061861 0.084796 0.114019
2025-11-02 0.008207 0.015789 0.026362 0.041234 0.060736 0.084655 0.115437
2025-11-09 0.007249 0.014723 0.025439 0.040796 0.061218 0.086528 0.119372
2025-11-16 0.006385 0.013723 0.024544 0.040348 0.061653 0.088326 0.123217
2025-11-23 0.006090 0.013604 0.024898 0.041598 0.064312 0.092937 0.130571
2025-11-30 0.005711 0.013313 0.024975 0.042451 0.066444 0.096888 0.137125
2025-12-07 0.005281 0.012894 0.024833 0.042976 0.068129 0.100270 0.142981
2025-12-14 0.004796 0.012331 0.024438 0.043114 0.069276 0.102955 0.147964
2025-12-21 0.004604 0.012277 0.024814 0.044353 0.071918 0.107579 0.155418
2025-12-28 0.004032 0.011460 0.023951 0.043758 0.072028 0.108903 0.158679
2026-01-04 0.003649 0.010958 0.023557 0.043825 0.073031 0.111381 0.163408
2026-01-11 0.003394 0.010686 0.023515 0.044399 0.074730 0.114771 0.169311
2026-01-18 0.003226 0.010574 0.023728 0.045352 0.076959 0.118870 0.176143